RBI Grade B Current Affairs — 21 October 2026

The MPC's 63rd meeting (October 5–7, 2026), chaired by Governor Sanjay Malhotra, unanimously voted to raise the policy repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 per cent. The SDF rate moves to 5.25 per cent and the MSF rate and Bank Rate to 5.75 per cent. The stance shifted from neutral to calibrated tightening, ruling out near-term rate cuts. CPI inflation is projected at 5.2 per cent for 2026-27; real GDP growth is projected at 7.1 per cent.

This MPC decision illustrates the classic monetary policy transmission chain that examiners test repeatedly. When the repo rate rises, commercial banks face a higher cost of borrowing from the RBI under the LAF. This pushes up lending rates across the economy, cooling credit demand, investment, and consumption — the demand-side channel of monetary tightening. The LAF corridor is defined by the SDF at the floor (25 bps below repo) and the MSF at the ceiling (25 bps above repo), maintaining a symmetric 50 bps corridor.

The shift to 'calibrated tightening' is a specific stance: it signals that rate cuts are categorically off the table in the near term, but the next move could be either a pause or a hike depending on incoming data. This is distinct from 'withdrawal of accommodation' (which allows cuts over time) or 'neutral' (which allows movement in either direction). The two dissenting members on the stance question — Dr. Nagesh Kumar and Prof. Ram Singh — preferred to retain the neutral stance, showing the MPC is not unanimous on the pace of tightening even when unanimous on the rate hike.

The inflation logic here is important: headline CPI at 4.8 per cent (August 2026) is above the 4 per cent target midpoint, with core inflation at 4.2 per cent signalling demand-side broadening. The MPC is acting pre-emptively against second-round effects. For NABARD aspirants, a higher repo rate raises NABARD's refinancing cost, potentially tightening agricultural credit availability at the margin.

External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar announced in October 2026 that India-UAE bilateral trade has crossed the $100 billion mark, a significant milestone in the two countries' economic relationship. The UAE is one of India's largest trading partners and hosts a substantial Indian diaspora. The announcement underscores the deepening of ties accelerated by the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement signed in February 2022, which was India's first such deal after a decade-long pause in bilateral trade agreements.

The India-UAE Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA), signed on 18 February 2022 and entering into force on 1 May 2022, was a landmark trade deal that aimed to raise bilateral trade from roughly $60 billion to $100 billion within five years. The $100 billion crossing, confirmed by Jaishankar, shows the target was met ahead of schedule.

For exam purposes, several layers matter. First, the UAE CEPA was India's first free trade agreement (FTA) after more than a decade — the previous one was with South Korea in 2009/10. Under CEPA, tariffs on over 90% of goods traded between the two countries were eliminated. India gained preferential access for labour-intensive sectors: textiles, gems and jewellery, leather, footwear, pharmaceuticals, and engineering goods. The UAE, in turn, gained access for petrochemicals, aluminium, and date products.

Second, the UAE is India's third-largest trading partner and second-largest export destination. It is also a major source of remittances, with around 3.5 million Indians living and working there — the largest expatriate community in the UAE.

Third, India and the UAE have linked their digital payment systems (UPI–AANI integration) and moved toward rupee-dirham trade settlement, reducing dollar dependence — a key RBI-relevant angle.

Fourth, the bilateral investment framework under CEPA includes provisions for services, intellectual property, and government procurement, making it a comprehensive deal beyond goods trade alone.

The Reserve Bank of India raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50%, marking its first rate increase in nearly four years. The move signals a shift from the accommodative monetary stance maintained during the COVID-19 period. Higher repo rates make borrowing costlier for banks, which transmit this to retail and corporate loans. The hike aims to anchor inflation expectations while balancing growth, directly affecting EMIs, credit offtake, and investment decisions across the economy.

The repo rate is the rate at which the RBI lends short-term funds to commercial banks against eligible securities. When the RBI raises it, banks face higher borrowing costs, which they pass on to consumers through increased lending rates on home loans, auto loans, and working capital credit. This is the core transmission mechanism of monetary policy.

The hike from the pandemic-era low signals a deliberate withdrawal of accommodation. During COVID-19, the MPC had slashed rates aggressively to stimulate growth and kept them low for nearly four years. Raising rates now is a signal that price stability has reasserted itself as the primary mandate under the flexible inflation targeting (FIT) framework — the RBI's legal obligation under the RBI Act, 1934, as amended in 2016, to keep CPI inflation within a 2–6% band with a 4% target.

For aspirants, the key conceptual chain is: repo rate hike → higher bank lending rates → reduced credit growth → lower consumption and investment → cooling of demand-side inflation. But this also risks slowing GDP growth, creating the classic monetary policy trade-off between inflation control and output support.

The LAF (Liquidity Adjustment Facility) corridor — consisting of the repo rate (ceiling), the reverse repo rate, and the SDF (Standing Deposit Facility) — is the operational framework through which this rate signal reaches the market. The MPC votes on the repo rate; the reverse repo and SDF rates move in tandem, shaping overnight interbank liquidity conditions.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio met Indian External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar and UAE Foreign Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan for trilateral discussions on energy security. The meeting signals growing convergence among the US, India, and UAE on stable energy supply chains. Energy security has become a central theme in India's foreign engagements amid global supply disruptions, Russian oil import debates, and the Gulf's role as India's primary hydrocarbon supplier.

This trilateral meeting sits at the intersection of three major geopolitical relationships: the US–India strategic partnership, the India–UAE Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA), and the broader US–Gulf alliance architecture.

Energy security for India is not merely about oil prices. The Gulf region — led by Saudi Arabia and the UAE — accounts for nearly 60% of India's crude oil imports. The UAE is also India's third-largest trading partner and the corridor through which a significant portion of Indian diaspora remittances flow.

For the US, energy diplomacy with India involves pushing back against India's continued purchase of discounted Russian crude oil since the 2022 Ukraine invasion. Washington has consistently urged New Delhi to diversify away from Russian energy — a pressure point that adds strategic texture to this trilateral.

The UAE, meanwhile, has positioned itself as a swing energy supplier and a key node in the India–Middle East–Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC), announced at the G20 New Delhi Summit in 2023. Energy, infrastructure, and trade are therefore layered into a single diplomatic conversation.

For exam purposes: understand the India–UAE CEPA (signed February 2022, effective May 2022), India's crude oil import sources, and IMEC's composition and significance. These are recurring static anchors that examiners attach to news events involving Gulf diplomacy.

The Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) has notified a new form for entities to furnish information when claiming income-tax exemption on interest income and capital gains arising from government securities. The move formalises the documentation process for such exemption claims, bringing greater procedural clarity. The notification is relevant for foreign institutional investors, sovereign wealth funds, and other entities that hold Indian government bonds and seek exemptions under the Income Tax Act.

Under the Income Tax Act, certain categories of investors — including foreign central banks, sovereign wealth funds, and specified foreign institutional investors — are eligible for exemption from tax on interest earned from, and capital gains arising out of, government securities (G-Secs). Earlier, the procedural mechanism for claiming such exemption lacked a standardised form, creating ambiguity in compliance.

CBDT, which is the apex body for direct tax administration under the Ministry of Finance, has now prescribed a specific form to streamline this process. By notifying a standard form, CBDT ensures that the information furnished by claimants is uniform, verifiable, and auditable — reducing discretionary interpretation at the field level.

For the broader macroeconomic context: G-Secs are sovereign debt instruments issued by the Government of India through the RBI. When foreign entities invest in these securities, the tax treatment of returns (interest and capital gains) directly affects the attractiveness of Indian debt markets to global capital. Tax exemptions on G-Sec returns are a key policy lever to enhance foreign participation, deepen the government securities market, and manage the cost of sovereign borrowing.

For aspirants, the conceptual linkage runs across CBDT (direct tax administration), RBI (G-Sec issuance and debt management), and SEBI (market regulation for foreign portfolio investors). This notification sits at the intersection of tax policy, debt market development, and foreign investment regulation — a classic multi-institution coordination point that examiners favour.